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Season Recap - Ruth Division (by Russ Bensing)

2/5/2012

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VBO:  The OddSox have always relied on pitching and defense:  they've finished 1st, 4th, and 2nd in team ERA, and 1st, 2nd, and 3rd in team X-out percent over the past three years.  This past season they put the hitting together, too, scoring more runs than all but powerhouses Richmond, Castaic, and Conn River.  It was a team effort, too; Andre Ethier had the top OPS, at a good-but-not-great .861, but Martin Prado contributed timely hitting at the top of the lineup, and Shane Victorino, Aubrey Huff, and Tyler Colvin pitched in with 25, 23, and 18 homers, respectively.  All that led to 97 victories, most in the league.  
Factoid:  In 18 games with Westpark, Virginia Beach won 17 of them, batting  301/.353/.449 while allowing only a 1.95 ERA.  
Outlook:  The OddSox have their work cut out for them in the offseason.  VBO gave 27 or more starts to pitchers who had ERA's of 2.12, 2.90, 3.45, 3.75, and 3.86.  In real life this past season, those same pitchers had ERA's of  4.80, 4.26, 5.07, 4.67, and 3.28.  Huff remembered he was Aubrey Huff, and Tyler Colvin fell off a cliff.

RAZZ:  With the addition of Daniel Hudson and Annabel Sanchez and the development of Clayton Kershaw, it was thought that Richmond would finally deviate from its habit of clubbing opponents into submission.  Didn't work:  Kershaw finished 9-11, 5.30, Hudson and Sanchez both posted ERA's over 4.40, and the Razz tied with Montreal for last in team ERA.  So, Richmond went back to clubbing opponents into submission, leading the league in runs scored as they have every season in the league's existence.  Six players finished with OPS's above .900, and off-season acquisition Adam Dunn blasted 43 homers, 2nd-most in the league.  
Factoid: Richmond's offense wasn't simply a creation of its ballpark; the RAZZ also hit 112 home runs on the road, more than any other team.  
Outlook:  Kershaw had a huge season, but it's questionable how that will translate into Richmond's ballpark and the lefty bias in Strat:  Kershaw's ERA with Richmond last season was nearly 2.5 runs higher than it was in real life.  The offense is much more suspect, too, with Dunn cratering and Hanley Ramirez being injured and having an off year.

MAR:  The Bones Demons just missed the playoffs last year at 80-82, with 11 fewer wins than in 2010.  The main problem was the pitching; while the team fell from 3rd to 5th in runs scored, they went from 5th to 9th in team ERA.  The biggest reason was the loss of CC Sabathia, who'd gone 15-13 with a 3.60 ERA in 2010, and a "decline" in Dan Haren, who added a run to his ERA.  Giving 6 starts to Andrew Miller, who went 0-5 with an 8.78 ERA, didn't help, but newly-acquired Tim Hudson acquitted himself well, going 18-9 with a 3.48 ERA.  
Factoid:  The Bones Demons' playoff chances died in August, when they went 12-18, with the team posting a 5.31 ERA that month.  
Outlook:  Missing the playoffs was probably a godsend for Marriottsville; with the extra roster spots and lower draft choice, and with Hudson and Dan Haren leading the rotation and Troy Tulowitzki and Miguel Cabrera in the 3-4 holes, the team can easily restock for a playoff run.  One problem is salary:  just two players, Cabrera and Haren, eat up 40% of the salary cap.  And both are in the AL, thus consuming an additional roster spot as well.

TEX:  The Armadillos are the league's yo-yo team:  in the past five seasons they've won 71, 91, 67, 95, and 79 games.  It's not hard to find the reason for their decline this past year:  the collapse of Pablo Sandoval (.883 OPS in 2010, .553 OPS last year), and unexpectedly and shockingly poor seasons from Ryan Braun (.265/.351/.405)  Justin Upton (.249/.339/.400), and Prince Fielder (.201/.328/.342).  Bad luck played a role, too:  despite finishing with a 3.34 ERA, Tommy Hanson lost more than two out of every three decisions, going 7-15.  
Factoid:  The cleanup slot for Texas posted a .625 OPS for the season.  
Outlook:  Braun, Upton, and Fielder hit 53 HR's for Texas last season; in real life last year, they hit 102.  That, the re-emergence of Pablo Sandoval, and a solid starting rotation pegs Texas for another 90+ win season.  The only real sore spot is that the collapse of Ryan Franklin leaves them in need of a closer.

WES:  Management decided to blow up the team last year, and they certainly succeeded:  the Ripcats won only 57 games, 41 fewer than in 2010.  The collapse was total:  Westpark went from 4th to last in runs scored, from 1st to 10th in ERA, and from fewest errors to most errors.  They also managed only 17 stolen bases on the season; no other team had fewer than 38.  The best indication of Westpark's offensive woes is that the only player who outperformed expectations was Nate McLouth, and he hit .217, 22 points above what he did in real life.  The pitching was an unmitigated disaster, with Joe Blanton and Jair Jurrjens combining to go 9-29, with a 6.42 ERA.  
Factoid:  Westpark is in desperate need of a left-handed hitter.  They actually finished above .500 against lefty starters, at 26-25, but wound up a with a woeful .279 winning percentage against normal people.   
Outlook:  Jurrjens and Lincecum rebounded from off seasons, Starlin Castro showed he's a potential superstar, and the Strasburg gambit paid off.  But with big holes at 2B, RF, CF, and a third basemen with a sub-.700 OPS, it looks like another rebuilding year.

MON:  Yet another reason the league had six teams that won 90+ games, as Montreal won only one-third of theirs.  Again, not hard to figure out why:  the Pool Sharks scored two more runs than last-place Westpark, and finished dead last in ERA.  They scored 10 or more runs in a game only 5 times, tied for last with two other teams (BOW and MAU), and allowed 10 run or more runs 21 times, most in the league.  Probably the sole highlight was Carlos Zambrano, who went 8-3 with a 2.03 ERA. 
Factoid:  Montreal went 10-4 in extra-inning games, the best winning percentage in the league.  
Outlook:  Last season's first-round pick, Ian Kennedy, turned out huge, and the trade for Gaby Sanchez will reap dividends.  But Montreal needs another good draft before it can expect to get to the other side of .500. 
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Season Recap - Aaron Division (by Russ Bensing)

2/5/2012

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CRP:  How do you win a championship three years in a row?  By finishing 2nd, 2nd, and 3rd in runs scored, and 4th, 3rd, and 3rd in ERA over that stretch.  Same-old same-old:  paced by Josh Hamilton (.335, 29 HR's) and four other players who hit 20 or more homers, a starting rotation which featured Ubaldo Jimenez (17-8, 2.09) and Jered Weaver (18-6, 2.88), and a bullpen with Heath Bell (2.00, 26 saves), the Patriots won 90+ games for the third year in a row.  
Factoid:  Despite a lefty-leaning lineup (Hamilton, Brian McCann, Kelly Johnson, and Russ Branyan), Conn River batted 48 points and slugged 78 points better against portsiders.  
Outlook:  The Patriots will have an uphill climb for a 4th title:  With the exception of Carlos Beltran and McCann, everybody had a worse offensive year (and some, like Johnson and Branyan, pretty much fell off the map), and the rotation after Weaver looks grim. 

CAQ:  The Quakes improved from 68 wins to 95 in a single season, reaping the benefits of a good draft and some great seasons by Joey Votto (1.103 OPS, 46 HR's) and Carlos Gonzalez (.943, 35).  The big improvement was in the pitching, which went from dead-last (4.84 ERA) in 2010 to a respectable 6th (3.79) this season.  Part of that was due to the surprise performance of Jake Westbrook (13-5, 2.78), but the Quakes' drafts over the last couple of years have been spectactular:  Gonzalez, John Axford, Jason Heyward, Andrew McCutchen, David Freese...  Are you listening, Montreal?  
Factoid:  The Quakes tried more squeezes than any other team, 17, being successful 7 times (Montreal was the most successful, going 9 for 12).  
Outlook:  Heyward had a horrible sophomore season, and there was a slight decline by others, but with Hamel and Cueto at the top of the rotation and at least six solid hitters in the lineup, Castaic should be back in the thick of things next year. 

WAC:  The Cheesewedgers also made a notable improvement, going from 78 wins to 91.  A big reason for that was the jump from 10th to 4th in team ERA, fueled largely by the bullpen:  after posting a 4.65 ERA in 2010, worse than all but two other teams, West Allis' relievers worked to a 3.13 ERA, bettered only by Bowie and Virginia Beach.  That made up for a noticeable slide by the offense, which declined by 58 homers and managed only a .247 average.  
Factoid:  The Cheesewedgers kicked it into gear in the stretch run.  After going only 6 games over .500 in the first four months of the season, they went 35-22 in August and September. 
Outlook:  West Allis has some issues, mainly injuries to key players like Buster Posey and Ike Davis.  But the two Matts -- Cain, who had his best season, and Kemp, who had an MVP year -- should assure them of a playoff spot.

BOW:  Another 19-game improvement over the previous year.   It certainly wasn't due to their hitting; because of their ballpark, Bowie's always been at the bottom of the league in that department, but this year they were even worse, batting 10 points lower and scoring 102 fewer runs.  The difference was a pitching staff which went from sixth in ERA at 4.34 to first at 2.72.  
Factoid:  In 94 of their 162 games, Bowie held its opponent to 3 runs or less.  Of course, in 97 games they scored three runs or less, perhaps explaining the fact that they played 62 1-run games, the most in the league by far.  
Outlook:  They've lost Adam Wainwright to injury, but a team with Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee at the top of the rotation, Jose Valverde as closer, and Adrian Gonzalez in the lineup is going to be a force.  They've got some significant holes, though, and it's not going to help at cutdown that at least three of their key players (Gonzalez, Valverde, and J.J. Hardy) are American Leaguers.

LIT:  The Rockies also improved, from 65 wins to 77.  A big reason was the offense; despite playing in a hitters park, they finished 11th in runs scored in 2010, but moved up to 7th this year.  The acquisition of Albert Pujols was certainly part of that; although he performed slightly worse than he did in real life, 43 HR's is nothing to sneeze at.  Had it not been for the collapse of Aramis Ramirez, who went from a .954 OPS in 2010 to a .669 OPS this year, Littleton probably would have made the playoffs. 
Factoid:  The Rockies hit .344 with the bases loaded, best in the league by far, but had only 5 extra base hits, including 1 home run; their 63 RBI in that situation was lower than all but Montreal, which hit .198 and had 59 RBI.  
Outlook:  Ramirez rebounded this year, and the starting pitching should be solid with Justin Verlander, Yovanni Gallardo and Jaime Garcia.  The bullpen is a concern, but a bigger one is Pujols:  after this year, with his big AL salary, he may be unaffordable.  This could be the season that Littleton has to make a move.

MMM:  David Wright and Ryan Howard combined for 51 homers, which was almost exactly half of the team total; no one else finished in double figures.  The Maulers got solid seasons from Johan Santana (8-11, 2.99), Roy Oswalt (12-9, 3.13), and Josh Johnson (8-7, 3.24), but that wasn't enough to overcome a lackluster offense and a bullpen where the closer, Brandon Lyon, posted a 4.26 ERA.  
Factoid:  Maui was the only team that didn't hit a grand slam this season.  
Outlook:  Although 1st round draft pick Mike Stanton didn't do anything for the Maulers this year (.219, 9 HR's), he should give them a solid 30 to 40 homers a year from here on out.  The bigger problem is shoring up the pitching, which will lose Santana and now needs a closer. 

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